‘Uncertainty is the hardest bill to pay’—why a shutdown squeezes Main Street, from loan delays to stalled contracts. Steps owners can take now.

Henry Jollster
loan delays and stalled contracts

Warning that federal gridlock can hit local storefronts first, Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler discussed how a government shutdown would strain small firms during an appearance on The Bottom Line. The discussion touched on loan slowdowns, halted contracting, and delayed payments, raising urgent questions for owners preparing for lean weeks ahead.

The exchange highlighted where the pain would land and what steps companies can take to manage cash and protect workers. With millions employed by small firms across the country, the stakes extend from shop floors to supply chains in every state.

Background: Why shutdowns squeeze small firms

When the federal government shuts down, many agencies suspend or limit operations. That often means slower approvals, halted certifications, and delayed payments. For small businesses, which run on thin margins, even short interruptions can cause missed payrolls or canceled orders.

Previous shutdowns halted new SBA loan approvals, paused some export assistance, and delayed federal contractor invoices. That ripple can travel quickly through local economies that depend on tourism, federal facilities, or research labs.

Loans and capital access

Lenders can keep working, but many SBA-guaranteed loans require federal review or authorization. A shutdown can stall those steps. That slows store openings, equipment purchases, and hiring plans.

Owners with expiring rate locks or lease deadlines face special risk. A delay of even a few weeks can force a deal to be reworked or abandoned. Cash buffers, bridge financing, or revised timelines may be needed to keep projects alive.

Federal contracting on hold

Contracting officers may not be available to issue awards, process modifications, or accept invoices. That can freeze small contractors waiting on task orders or payments for completed work.

Firms in construction, IT services, and facility support are often the first to feel the pinch. Some may have to stand down crews or shift staff to private projects to keep payroll running.

Workers, compliance, and day-to-day operations

Shutdowns can disrupt routine compliance. Systems like E-Verify have been paused during past closures, complicating hiring. Tax transcript requests and certain certifications may take longer.

Tourism and hospitality firms near national parks and monuments often suffer immediate drops in traffic. Suppliers to federal labs and universities can also see orders delayed.

What owners can do now

While the timing and length of a shutdown are uncertain, planning can reduce damage. Owners can stress-test cash flow, call lenders, and talk with prime contractors about expected timelines.

  • Map cash needs by week and identify essentials like payroll, rent, and taxes.
  • Ask lenders about temporary credit lines or interest-only periods.
  • Check with contracting officers or primes on invoice status and work orders.
  • Delay noncritical capital spending and prioritize receivables collection.
  • Communicate with staff and vendors early about potential changes.

Voices from the discussion

During the appearance, the conversation centered on predictability. Small firms need clear timelines to plan hiring, inventory, and financing. Unclear guidance forces owners to be cautious, pull back investment, and conserve cash.

“Uncertainty is the hardest bill to pay.”

That sentiment reflects a common concern among owners who depend on timely approvals or federal checks. Even when demand is steady, cash timing can tip a business into a crunch.

What to watch next

Key markers include whether agencies publish contingency plans, how lenders handle applications in the queue, and whether contracting offices issue stop-work orders. State and local programs may fill some gaps, but few can fully replace federal activity.

If a shutdown is short, most firms can manage with temporary measures. A longer stoppage risks layoffs, canceled projects, and long recoveries for local suppliers.

The message for Main Street is clear. Prepare for delays, protect cash, and stay close to lenders and contracting partners. The sooner businesses plan for disruption, the better their chances of steady operations if Washington stalls again.